Evidence-Based Ophthalmology Match Calculator

Based on 2025 AUPO/SFMatch Data + Published Research on Top Program Characteristics

Using only variables with published evidence • No artificial coefficients

SFMatch Report Data

Applicant Type

USMLE Step 2 CK

Matched avg: 258 (US seniors), Unmatched: 245

AOA Status

Gold Humanism Honor Society

Total Publications

Matched avg: 4.7, Unmatched avg: 4.2

URiM Status

Signals Used

Applications

Based on published research analyzing top-ranked programs

Gender

Graduate Degrees

Medical School Ranking

Medical School Region

Medical School Mean Step 2

H-Index

H-index ≥1 has OR: 1.92 for top programs

• This calculator uses only published, peer-reviewed data sources

• Individual outcomes depend on many unmeasurable factors (interview skills, personal statement, letters of recommendation, program fit)

• Probabilities are population-level estimates and cannot predict individual results

• Use this as one tool among many in your application strategy

• Always consult with ophthalmology faculty and advisors for personalized guidance

• Past performance does not guarantee future results - match dynamics can change