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Signal strategy

Internal Medicine

Programs ranked by empirical signal lift - how much sending a signal moves your interview probability, computed from real applicant data across 22 specialties.

Your stratum
Set your stats to re-rank
Step 2 CK, applicant type, home state - below.
Your signal budget for this specialty
0 of 15 program signals used
0 of 3 gold · 0 silver
0 of 3 divisions preferenced
Shared across your whole ERAS application, not per specialty.
ERAS submissions open
 
Apps transmit to programs on this date.
Where you are in the cycle · 2026-2027
✓
Pick specialty
before May
●
Pick signals
now
Build apply list
by Sept
Submit ERAS
Sept 2
Track invites
Oct-Dec
Build rank list
Feb 25
Match Day
Mar 19
Try your stats
Re-rank for your applicant cohort. No account needed.
P(interview) at a typical Internal Medicine program
Real probabilities from raw applicant data. Both columns are real numbers; the arrow shows what signaling adds.
methodology
raw cross-tab, 2024-2026, n=82,337 classifiable Internal Medicine applicants. P(invite) = k_invited / n per cell of (signaled × geographic_connection × away_rotation). Cells with thin sample sizes (n < 500 in the limiting arm) carry wider real CIs than shown here; treat directionally.
No ties
21%→60%
+39 pp with signal
Pure signal effect
Personal tie only
42%→73%
+31 pp with signal
Home-state programs
Away rotation only
59%→84%
+25 pp with signal
You rotated there
⚠ thin sample (n=235)
Personal tie + away
80%→90%
+10 pp with signal
Already very likely
⚠ thin sample (n=395)

Geographic preferences

In MyERAS you can tell programs which parts of the country you prefer: pick up to 3 census divisions. Only programs inside a division you pick see it. This is separate from the filters below (those just narrow this list) and from per-program personal ties.

3 picks left. Programs inside your divisions get a marker in the list below.

Each percent is your chance of an interview there, not a ranking of the program. Less competitive programs score higher because they are easier to land.

Sort:|Geo:

Where you’re most likely to land an interview

showing 50 of 698
University at BuffaloNY 144 in your cohortSelectivity 249
Your P(interview) herewithout signal49%→with signal86%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
Mountain Area Health Education CenterNC 121 in your cohortSelectivity 245
Your P(interview) herewithout signal60%→with signal86%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
Abbott-Northwestern HospitalMN 182 in your cohortSelectivity 249
Your P(interview) herewithout signal35%→with signal84%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
University of Arizona College of Medicine-TucsonAZ 305 in your cohortSelectivity 249
Your P(interview) herewithout signal41%→with signal84%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
Gundersen Lutheran Medical FoundationWI 76 in your cohortSelectivity 245
Your P(interview) herewithout signal68%→with signal84%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
SSM Health/Saint Louis University School of MedicineMO 213 in your cohortSelectivity 251
Your P(interview) herewithout signal46%→with signal84%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
Yale-New Haven Medical Center (Primary Care)CT 168 in your cohortSelectivity 252
Your P(interview) herewithout signal56%→with signal82%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
Hennepin HealthcareMN 154 in your cohortSignal usually required
Your P(interview) herewithout signal21%→with signal82%
14.0%signaled0.00%no signal∞match-rate liftn = 43/71 · 3 cycles
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
University of Iowa (Des Moines)IA 122 in your cohortSelectivity 244
Your P(interview) herewithout signal17%→with signal80%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
University of Rochester Medical CenterNY 274 in your cohortSelectivity 253
Your P(interview) herewithout signal23%→with signal80%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
SUNY Upstate Medical UniversityNY 110 in your cohortSelectivity 247
Your P(interview) herewithout signal19%→with signal80%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
University of HawaiiHI 119 in your cohortSelectivity 249
Your P(interview) herewithout signal49%→with signal79%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
Lakeland Regional HealthFL 62 in your cohortSelectivity 248
Your P(interview) herewithout signal51%→with signal79%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
Lehigh Valley Health NetworkPA 145 in your cohortSelectivity 245
Your P(interview) herewithout signal23%→with signal78%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
Kaiser Permanente Northern California (Oakland)CA 239 in your cohortSelectivity 251
Your P(interview) herewithout signal31%→with signal78%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
Samaritan Health Services - CorvallisOR 46 in your cohortSelectivity 244
Your P(interview) herewithout signal46%→with signal78%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
Summa Health System/NEOMEDOH 94 in your cohortSelectivity 243
Your P(interview) herewithout signal46%→with signal78%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
Mayo Clinic College of Medicine and Science (Scottsdale)AZ 283 in your cohortSignal requiredSelectivity 257
Your P(interview) herewithout signal34%→with signal78%
6.7%signaled0.00%no signal∞match-rate liftn = 75/168 · 3 cycles
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
Santa Clara Valley Medical CenterCA 179 in your cohortSelectivity 248
Your P(interview) herewithout signal35%→with signal78%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
Medical College of GeorgiaGA 244 in your cohortSelectivity 254
Your P(interview) herewithout signal12%→with signal77%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
MercyOne Des Moines/PHC ConsortiumIA 62 in your cohortSelectivity 245
Your P(interview) herewithout signal49%→with signal77%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
Spokane Teaching Health CenterWA 69 in your cohortSelectivity 246
Your P(interview) herewithout signal30%→with signal77%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
Creighton University School of Medicine (Omaha)NE 357 in your cohortSelectivity 250
Your P(interview) herewithout signal48%→with signal77%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
University of Texas Southwestern Medical CenterTX 599 in your cohortSignal requiredSelectivity 256
Your P(interview) herewithout signal24%→with signal77%
18.1%signaled0.42%no signal43xmatch-rate liftn = 259/240 · 3 cycles
● Holds for Step 2 250+
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
Zucker School of Medicine at Hofstra/NorthwellNY 415 in your cohortSelectivity 254
Your P(interview) herewithout signal35%→with signal77%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
UMass Chan - BaystateMA 145 in your cohortSelectivity 243
Your P(interview) herewithout signal14%→with signal77%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
Legacy Health/Salmon Creek Medical CenterWA 67 in your cohortSelectivity 243
Your P(interview) herewithout signal47%→with signal77%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
University of Mississippi Medical CenterMS 101 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal53%→with signal77%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
The MetroHealth System/Case Western Reserve UniversityOH 220 in your cohortSignal requiredSelectivity 250
Your P(interview) herewithout signal32%→with signal76%
13.3%signaled0.00%no signal∞match-rate liftn = 45/124 · 3 cycles
● Holds for Step 2 250+
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
Advocate Health Care/Advocate Christ Medical CenterIL 125 in your cohortSelectivity 248
Your P(interview) herewithout signal18%→with signal76%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
University of Iowa Health Care Medical CenterIA 315 in your cohortSelectivity 254
Your P(interview) herewithout signal26%→with signal76%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
Louisiana State University School of MedicineLA 215 in your cohortSignal requiredSelectivity 250
Your P(interview) herewithout signal24%→with signal76%
17.1%signaled0.00%no signal∞match-rate liftn = 35/132 · 3 cycles
● Holds for Step 2 250+
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
University of Vermont Medical CenterVT 311 in your cohortSelectivity 251
Your P(interview) herewithout signal20%→with signal76%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
University of Kansas School of MedicineKS 265 in your cohortSelectivity 255
Your P(interview) herewithout signal22%→with signal76%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
Henry Ford Health/Henry Ford HospitalMI 270 in your cohortSignal requiredSelectivity 254
Your P(interview) herewithout signal9%→with signal76%
12.2%signaled0.00%no signal∞match-rate liftn = 49/168 · 3 cycles
● Holds for Step 2 250+
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
University of New Mexico School of MedicineNM 198 in your cohortSelectivity 248
Your P(interview) herewithout signal47%→with signal75%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
Mercyhealth GME ConsortiumIL 53 in your cohortSelectivity 241
Your P(interview) herewithout signal37%→with signal75%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
Trios HealthWA 21 in your cohortLow NSelectivity 238
Your P(interview) herewithout signal37%→with signal75%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
Kaiser Permanente HawaiiHI 52 in your cohortSelectivity 247
Your P(interview) herewithout signal40%→with signal75%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
Kettering Health Network/Kettering Medical CenterOH 74 in your cohortSelectivity 248
Your P(interview) herewithout signal49%→with signal75%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
Mercy Hospital (St Louis)MO 63 in your cohortSelectivity 243
Your P(interview) herewithout signal29%→with signal75%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
Riverside University Health SystemCA 58 in your cohortSelectivity 241
Your P(interview) herewithout signal26%→with signal74%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Personal tie?
Rotated here?
How these numbers are computed

Lift = P(invite | signaled in your stratum) − P(invite | unsignaled in your stratum). When the signaled rate is lower than unsignaled in the source (small-N sample noise), we floor the lift at 0 - signaling cannot credibly hurt your odds, and the UI shouldn’t lie.

Stratum = applicant type (US MD / DO / IMG) × Step 2 CK band (<240 / 240-249 / 250-259 / 260-269 / 270+). When n < 10 in your exact stratum, we fall back to the program’s overall rollup so you still get a number, just less personalized.

Gold vs silver: on two-tier specialties, each program’s own gold and silver invite rates are scaled onto your blended estimate, so the chip you pick re-prices the row. When a tier cell has fewer than 10 reports, or gold and silver land within sampling noise (gold not clearly above silver), the two pool back to the single blended estimate - the same n < 10 floor used for strata above.

Tier: Reach (matched-invitee mean is 8+ above your Step 2, or signal can’t rescue), Target (closer fit), Safety (baseline P(invite) > 50% - you’ll interview without a signal). The signal slider hides on Safety and on unrescuable Reach rows where worthSignaling is false.

Refine your estimate: each credential you set shifts P(invite) by its modeled effect for this specialty, from a ridge logistic regression on real applicant data. Credentials with no statistically measurable effect leave the number unchanged.

Caveats: lift is observational (signaled applicants may differ in unmeasured ways like geographic ties, mentorship, prior aways); programs with fewer than ~30 reports have wide CIs.

For the full picture

/match-plan takes your saved programs and computes P(invite), P(match), and tier per program for your specific stats - with primary + backup specialty support and signal-budget allocation.

Open Match Plan →