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Signal strategy

Psychiatry

Programs ranked by empirical signal lift - how much sending a signal moves your interview probability, computed from real applicant data across 22 specialties.

Your stratum
Set your stats to re-rank
Step 2 CK, applicant type, home state - below.
Your signal budget for this specialty
0 of 10 program signals used
ERAS submissions open
 
Apps transmit to programs on this date.
Where you are in the cycle · 2026-2027
✓
Pick specialty
before May
●
Pick signals
now
Build apply list
by Sept
Submit ERAS
Sept 2
Track invites
Oct-Dec
Build rank list
Feb 25
Match Day
Mar 19
Try your stats
Re-rank for your applicant cohort. No account needed.
P(interview) at a typical Psychiatry program
Real probabilities from raw applicant data. Both columns are real numbers; the arrow shows what signaling adds.
methodology
raw cross-tab, 2024-2026, n=48,170 classifiable Psychiatry applicants. P(invite) = k_invited / n per cell of (signaled × geographic_connection × away_rotation). Cells with thin sample sizes (n < 500 in the limiting arm) carry wider real CIs than shown here; treat directionally.
No ties
12%→58%
+46 pp with signal
Pure signal effect
Geo tie only
30%→70%
+39 pp with signal
Home-state programs
Away rotation only
56%→79%
+23 pp with signal
You rotated there
⚠ thin sample (n=139)
Geo + away
84%→90%
+6 pp with signal
Already very likely
⚠ thin sample (n=158)
Sort:|Geo:

Where you’re most likely to land an interview

showing 50 of 324
University of Iowa Health Care Medical CenterIA 147 in your cohortSelectivity 247
Your P(interview) herewithout signal36%→with signal83%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Washington University/B-JH/SLCH ConsortiumMO 205 in your cohortSignal requiredSelectivity 251
Your P(interview) herewithout signal28%→with signal83%
11.1%signaled0.69%no signal16xmatch-rate liftn = 36/144 · 3 cycles
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Oklahoma Health Sciences CenterOK 104 in your cohortSelectivity 248
Your P(interview) herewithout signal24%→with signal81%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
VirtuaNJ 59 in your cohortSelectivity 243
Your P(interview) herewithout signal20%→with signal81%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Dartmouth-Hitchcock/Mary Hitchcock Memorial HospitalNH 251 in your cohortSignal requiredSelectivity 248
Your P(interview) herewithout signal9%→with signal81%
25.0%signaled0.00%no signal∞match-rate liftn = 32/164 · 3 cycles
● Holds for Step 2 250+
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Texas Medical Branch HospitalsTX 142 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal32%→with signal81%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Tufts Medical CenterMA 394 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal10%→with signal79%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Cleveland Clinic FoundationOH 289 in your cohortSignal requiredSelectivity 248
Your P(interview) herewithout signal15%→with signal78%
9.4%signaled0.00%no signal∞match-rate liftn = 32/208 · 3 cycles
● Holds for Step 2 250+
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Sutter Health/California Pacific Medical CenterCA 165 in your cohortSelectivity 249
Your P(interview) herewithout signal12%→with signal78%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Penn State Milton S Hershey Medical CenterPA 205 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal9%→with signal78%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of South Florida MorsaniFL 172 in your cohortSignal usually required
Your P(interview) herewithout signal13%→with signal78%
9.1%signaled0.92%no signal10xmatch-rate liftn = 33/109 · 3 cycles
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Creighton University School of Medicine (Omaha)NE 237 in your cohortSelectivity 250
Your P(interview) herewithout signal22%→with signal78%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of FloridaFL 201 in your cohortSelectivity 250
Your P(interview) herewithout signal23%→with signal77%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Vermont Medical CenterVT 203 in your cohortSelectivity 249
Your P(interview) herewithout signal12%→with signal77%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Hennepin Healthcare/Regions HospitalMN 137 in your cohortSelectivity 248
Your P(interview) herewithout signal17%→with signal76%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Providence Sacred Heart Medical CenterWA 129 in your cohortSelectivity 250
Your P(interview) herewithout signal21%→with signal76%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Oregon Health & Science University (OHSU Health)OR 299 in your cohortSelectivity 249
Your P(interview) herewithout signal13%→with signal76%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Louisville School of MedicineKY 130 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal13%→with signal76%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Westchester Medical CenterNY 115 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal11%→with signal76%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Nevada Reno School of MedicineNV 108 in your cohortSelectivity 244
Your P(interview) herewithout signal17%→with signal76%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Community Health Network, Inc.IN 87 in your cohortSelectivity 242
Your P(interview) herewithout signal18%→with signal75%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Miami/Jackson Health SystemFL 232 in your cohortSelectivity 249
Your P(interview) herewithout signal24%→with signal75%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Rochester Medical CenterNY 172 in your cohortSelectivity 253
Your P(interview) herewithout signal15%→with signal74%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Kansas (Wichita)KS 62 in your cohortSelectivity 243
Your P(interview) herewithout signal22%→with signal74%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of New Mexico School of MedicineNM 173 in your cohortSelectivity 243
Your P(interview) herewithout signal18%→with signal74%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Virginia Medical CenterVA 292 in your cohortSelectivity 251
Your P(interview) herewithout signal15%→with signal74%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of ConnecticutCT 228 in your cohortSelectivity 246
Your P(interview) herewithout signal18%→with signal73%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Arizona College of Medicine-PhoenixAZ 202 in your cohortSelectivity 245
Your P(interview) herewithout signal12%→with signal73%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Kansas School of MedicineKS 107 in your cohortSelectivity 244
Your P(interview) herewithout signal21%→with signal73%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
HCA Florida Healthcare/Aventura HospitalFL 86 in your cohortSelectivity 243
Your P(interview) herewithout signal21%→with signal73%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Tower Health/Reading HospitalPA 128 in your cohortSelectivity 239
Your P(interview) herewithout signal27%→with signal73%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Ohio State University HospitalOH 281 in your cohortSelectivity 246
Your P(interview) herewithout signal12%→with signal73%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Broward HealthFL 86 in your cohortSelectivity 241
Your P(interview) herewithout signal13%→with signal73%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Alabama Hospital (Birmingham)AL 61 in your cohortSelectivity 244
Your P(interview) herewithout signal15%→with signal73%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of North Carolina HospitalsNC 408 in your cohortSelectivity 251
Your P(interview) herewithout signal9%→with signal73%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Memorial Healthcare System, Hollywood, FloridaFL 74 in your cohortSelectivity 239
Your P(interview) herewithout signal13%→with signal73%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
How these numbers are computed

Lift = P(invite | signaled in your stratum) − P(invite | unsignaled in your stratum). When the signaled rate is lower than unsignaled in the source (small-N sample noise), we floor the lift at 0 - signaling cannot credibly hurt your odds, and the UI shouldn’t lie.

Stratum = applicant type (US MD / DO / IMG) × Step 2 CK band (<240 / 240-249 / 250-259 / 260-269 / 270+). When n < 10 in your exact stratum, we fall back to the program’s overall rollup so you still get a number, just less personalized.

Tier: Reach (matched-invitee mean is 8+ above your Step 2, or signal can’t rescue), Target (closer fit), Safety (baseline P(invite) > 50% - you’ll interview without a signal). The signal slider hides on Safety and on unrescuable Reach rows where worthSignaling is false.

Refine your estimate: each credential you set shifts P(invite) by its modeled effect for this specialty, from a ridge logistic regression on real applicant data. Credentials with no statistically measurable effect leave the number unchanged.

Caveats: lift is observational (signaled applicants may differ in unmeasured ways like geographic ties, mentorship, prior aways); programs with fewer than ~30 reports have wide CIs.

For the full picture

/match-plan takes your saved programs and computes P(invite), P(match), and tier per program for your specific stats - with primary + backup specialty support and signal-budget allocation.

Open Match Plan →