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Signal strategy

Psychiatry

Programs ranked by empirical signal lift — how much sending a signal moves your interview probability, computed from real applicant data across 22 specialties.

Your stratum
Set your stats to re-rank
Step 2 CK, applicant type, home state — below.
Your signal budget for this specialty
0 of 9 program signals used
ERAS submissions open
 
Apps transmit to programs on this date.
Where you are in the cycle · 2026-2027
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before May
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now
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by Sept
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Sept 2
Track invites
Oct-Dec
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Feb 25
Match Day
Mar 19
Try your stats
Re-rank for your applicant cohort. No account needed.
P(interview) at a typical Psychiatry program
Real probabilities from raw applicant data. Both columns are real numbers; the arrow shows what signaling adds.
methodology
raw cross-tab, n=64,127 classifiable Psychiatry applicants. P(invite) = k_invited / n per cell of (signaled × geographic_connection × away_rotation). Cells with thin sample sizes (n < 500 in the limiting arm) carry wider real CIs than shown here; treat directionally.
No ties
13%→58%
+46 pp with signal
Pure signal effect
Geo tie only
32%→69%
+36 pp with signal
Home-state programs
Away rotation only
62%→81%
+19 pp with signal
You rotated there
⚠ thin sample (n=187)
Geo + away
84%→90%
+6 pp with signal
Already very likely
⚠ thin sample (n=230)
Sort:

Where you’re most likely to land an interview

showing 50 of 329
Dartmouth-Hitchcock/Mary Hitchcock Memorial HospitalNH 345 in your cohortSignal requiredSelectivity 248
Your P(interview) herewithout signal19%→with signal89%
25.0%signaled0.00%no signal∞match-rate liftn = 32/164 · 3 cycles
● Holds for Step 2 250+
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Hennepin Healthcare/Regions HospitalMN 175 in your cohortSelectivity 248
Your P(interview) herewithout signal25%→with signal85%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Ohio State University HospitalOH 385 in your cohortSelectivity 246
Your P(interview) herewithout signal18%→with signal82%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Oklahoma Health Sciences CenterOK 137 in your cohortSelectivity 248
Your P(interview) herewithout signal24%→with signal82%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Washington University/B-JH/SLCH ConsortiumMO 299 in your cohortSignal requiredSelectivity 251
Your P(interview) herewithout signal24%→with signal81%
11.1%signaled0.69%no signal16xmatch-rate liftn = 36/144 · 3 cycles
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Vermont Medical CenterVT 277 in your cohortSelectivity 249
Your P(interview) herewithout signal13%→with signal81%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Westchester Medical CenterNY 148 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal16%→with signal80%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Louisville School of MedicineKY 176 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal23%→with signal80%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Texas Medical Branch HospitalsTX 206 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal32%→with signal80%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Penn State Milton S Hershey Medical CenterPA 259 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal13%→with signal79%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Tufts Medical CenterMA 543 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal14%→with signal79%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Cleveland Clinic FoundationOH 385 in your cohortSignal requiredSelectivity 248
Your P(interview) herewithout signal17%→with signal78%
9.4%signaled0.00%no signal∞match-rate liftn = 32/208 · 3 cycles
● Holds for Step 2 250+
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Creighton University School of Medicine (Omaha)NE 166 in your cohortSelectivity 250
Your P(interview) herewithout signal29%→with signal78%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of South Florida MorsaniFL 226 in your cohortSignal usually required
Your P(interview) herewithout signal16%→with signal78%
9.1%signaled0.92%no signal10xmatch-rate liftn = 33/109 · 3 cycles
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Nevada Reno School of MedicineNV 155 in your cohortSelectivity 244
Your P(interview) herewithout signal20%→with signal78%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Providence Sacred Heart Medical CenterWA 154 in your cohortSelectivity 250
Your P(interview) herewithout signal21%→with signal77%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Oregon Health & Science University (OHSU Health)OR 315 in your cohortSelectivity 249
Your P(interview) herewithout signal13%→with signal76%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of HawaiiHI 149 in your cohortSelectivity 245
Your P(interview) herewithout signal21%→with signal76%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of North Carolina HospitalsNC 546 in your cohortSelectivity 251
Your P(interview) herewithout signal15%→with signal76%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Wake Forest University Baptist Medical CenterNC 360 in your cohortSelectivity 251
Your P(interview) herewithout signal16%→with signal76%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Wright State UniversityOH 129 in your cohortSelectivity 243
Your P(interview) herewithout signal17%→with signal76%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Maryland/Sheppard PrattMD 447 in your cohortSignal requiredSelectivity 249
Your P(interview) herewithout signal25%→with signal76%
12.2%signaled0.49%no signal25xmatch-rate liftn = 49/206 · 3 cycles
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Tower Health/Reading HospitalPA 148 in your cohortSelectivity 239
Your P(interview) herewithout signal33%→with signal75%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of New Mexico School of MedicineNM 251 in your cohortSelectivity 243
Your P(interview) herewithout signal19%→with signal75%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Virginia Medical CenterVA 372 in your cohortSelectivity 251
Your P(interview) herewithout signal16%→with signal74%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Kentucky College of MedicineKY 202 in your cohortSignal requiredSelectivity 245
Your P(interview) herewithout signal24%→with signal74%
6.7%signaled0.00%no signal∞match-rate liftn = 30/99 · 3 cycles
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Memorial Healthcare System, Hollywood, FloridaFL 91 in your cohortSelectivity 239
Your P(interview) herewithout signal17%→with signal74%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Community Health Network, Inc.IN 124 in your cohortSelectivity 242
Your P(interview) herewithout signal18%→with signal74%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of North DakotaND 62 in your cohortSelectivity 241
Your P(interview) herewithout signal25%→with signal74%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of South DakotaSD 87 in your cohortSelectivity 245
Your P(interview) herewithout signal30%→with signal74%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Mission Community HospitalCA 124 in your cohortSelectivity 242
Your P(interview) herewithout signal27%→with signal74%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of FloridaFL 270 in your cohortSelectivity 250
Your P(interview) herewithout signal19%→with signal74%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Kansas (Wichita)KS 92 in your cohortSelectivity 243
Your P(interview) herewithout signal22%→with signal73%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
UMass Chan Medical SchoolMA 357 in your cohortSelectivity 247
Your P(interview) herewithout signal16%→with signal73%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Rochester Medical CenterNY 43 in your cohortSelectivity 253
Your P(interview) herewithout signal17%→with signal73%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
MaineHealthME 92 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal11%→with signal73%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Institute of Living/Hartford HospitalCT 267 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal24%→with signal73%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
VirtuaNJ 61 in your cohortSelectivity 243
Your P(interview) herewithout signal17%→with signal73%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Alabama Hospital (Birmingham)AL 27 in your cohortLow NSelectivity 244
Your P(interview) herewithout signal15%→with signal73%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
How these numbers are computed

Lift = P(invite | signaled in your stratum) − P(invite | unsignaled in your stratum). When the signaled rate is lower than unsignaled in the source (small-N sample noise), we floor the lift at 0 — signaling cannot credibly hurt your odds, and the UI shouldn’t lie.

Stratum = applicant type (US MD / DO / IMG) × Step 2 CK band (<240 / 240-249 / 250-259 / 260-269 / 270+). When n < 10 in your exact stratum, we fall back to the program’s overall rollup so you still get a number, just less personalized.

Tier: Reach (matched-invitee mean is 8+ above your Step 2, or signal can’t rescue), Target (closer fit), Safety (baseline P(invite) > 50% — you’ll interview without a signal). The signal slider hides on Safety and on unrescuable Reach rows where worthSignaling is false.

Refine your estimate: each credential you set shifts P(invite) by its modeled effect for this specialty, from a ridge logistic regression on real applicant data. Credentials with no statistically measurable effect leave the number unchanged.

Caveats: lift is observational (signaled applicants may differ in unmeasured ways like geographic ties, mentorship, prior aways); programs with fewer than ~30 reports have wide CIs.

For the full picture

/match-plan takes your saved programs and computes P(invite), P(match), and tier per program for your specific stats — with primary + backup specialty support and signal-budget allocation.

Open Match Plan →