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Signal strategy

Plastic Surgery - Integrated

Programs ranked by empirical signal lift — how much sending a signal moves your interview probability, computed from real applicant data across 22 specialties.

Your stratum
Set your stats to re-rank
Step 2 CK, applicant type, home state — below.
Your signal budget for this specialty
0 of 5 program signals used
ERAS submissions open
 
Apps transmit to programs on this date.
Where you are in the cycle · 2026-2027
✓
Pick specialty
before May
●
Pick signals
now
Build apply list
by Sept
Submit ERAS
Sept 2
Track invites
Oct-Dec
Build rank list
Feb 25
Match Day
Mar 19
Try your stats
Re-rank for your applicant cohort. No account needed.
P(interview) at a typical Plastic Surgery - Integrated program
Real probabilities from raw applicant data. Both columns are real numbers; the arrow shows what signaling adds.
methodology
raw cross-tab, n=17,015 classifiable Plastic Surgery - Integrated applicants. P(invite) = k_invited / n per cell of (signaled × geographic_connection × away_rotation). Cells with thin sample sizes (n < 500 in the limiting arm) carry wider real CIs than shown here; treat directionally.
No ties
8%→43%
+35 pp with signal
Pure signal effect
Geo tie only
38%→62%
+24 pp with signal
Home-state programs
⚠ thin sample (n=342)
Away rotation only
78%→90%
+12 pp with signal
You rotated there
⚠ thin sample (n=199)
Geo + away
91%→92%
no measurable change
Already very likely
⚠ thin sample (n=99)
Sort:

Where you’re most likely to land an interview

showing 50 of 87
University of Utah HealthUT 178 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal11%→with signal72%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Texas Medical Branch HospitalsTX 176 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal20%→with signal71%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
UMass Chan Medical SchoolMA 171 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal9%→with signal68%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of South Florida MorsaniFL 173 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal20%→with signal67%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Kentucky College of MedicineKY 178 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal13%→with signal66%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of FloridaFL 177 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal11%→with signal65%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Louisville School of MedicineKY 174 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal14%→with signal65%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
West Virginia University School of MedicineWV 168 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal13%→with signal65%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Wright State UniversityOH 159 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal11%→with signal65%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Alabama Hospital (Birmingham)AL 34 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal8%→with signal65%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Colorado School of MedicineCO 185 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal13%→with signal65%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Penn State Milton S Hershey Medical CenterPA 179 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal11%→with signal65%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Texas Southwestern Medical CenterTX 186 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal12%→with signal64%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Cleveland Clinic FoundationOH 174 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal12%→with signal63%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Lehigh Valley Health NetworkPA 174 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal12%→with signal63%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of MinnesotaMN 171 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal11%→with signal63%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Mississippi School of MedicineMS 176 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal14%→with signal62%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Geisinger Health SystemPA 173 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal11%→with signal62%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Virginia Commonwealth University Health SystemVA 183 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal20%→with signal62%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Louisiana State University School of MedicineLA 181 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal10%→with signal62%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Old Dominion UniversityVA 30 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal11%→with signal61%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Oregon Health & Science University (OHSU Health)OR 121 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal9%→with signal61%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Indiana University School of MedicineIN 179 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal12%→with signal61%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of New Mexico School of MedicineNM 170 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal14%→with signal60%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Icahn School of Medicine at Mount SinaiNY 178 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal9%→with signal60%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Stony Brook MedicineNY 28 in your cohortLow N
Your P(interview) herewithout signal11%→with signal59%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Rochester Medical CenterNY 32 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal9%→with signal58%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Southern Illinois UniversityIL 178 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal14%→with signal58%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Beth Israel Deaconess Medical CenterMA 179 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal11%→with signal58%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Lahey ClinicMA 176 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal12%→with signal58%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Rush University Medical CenterIL 178 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal11%→with signal57%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Larkin Community Hospital Palm Springs CampusFL 141 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal11%→with signal57%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Iowa Health Care Medical CenterIA 25 in your cohortLow N
Your P(interview) herewithout signal11%→with signal57%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Kansas School of MedicineKS 175 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal12%→with signal57%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Washington University/B-JH/SLCH ConsortiumMO 179 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal9%→with signal55%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Loyola University Medical CenterIL 185 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal13%→with signal55%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
How these numbers are computed

Lift = P(invite | signaled in your stratum) − P(invite | unsignaled in your stratum). When the signaled rate is lower than unsignaled in the source (small-N sample noise), we floor the lift at 0 — signaling cannot credibly hurt your odds, and the UI shouldn’t lie.

Stratum = applicant type (US MD / DO / IMG) × Step 2 CK band (<240 / 240-249 / 250-259 / 260-269 / 270+). When n < 10 in your exact stratum, we fall back to the program’s overall rollup so you still get a number, just less personalized.

Tier: Reach (matched-invitee mean is 8+ above your Step 2, or signal can’t rescue), Target (closer fit), Safety (baseline P(invite) > 50% — you’ll interview without a signal). The signal slider hides on Safety and on unrescuable Reach rows where worthSignaling is false.

Refine your estimate: each credential you set shifts P(invite) by its modeled effect for this specialty, from a ridge logistic regression on real applicant data. Credentials with no statistically measurable effect leave the number unchanged.

Caveats: lift is observational (signaled applicants may differ in unmeasured ways like geographic ties, mentorship, prior aways); programs with fewer than ~30 reports have wide CIs.

For the full picture

/match-plan takes your saved programs and computes P(invite), P(match), and tier per program for your specific stats — with primary + backup specialty support and signal-budget allocation.

Open Match Plan →