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Signal strategy

Plastic Surgery - Integrated

Programs ranked by empirical signal lift - how much sending a signal moves your interview probability, computed from real applicant data across 22 specialties.

Your stratum
Set your stats to re-rank
Step 2 CK, applicant type, home state - below.
Your signal budget for this specialty
0 of 20 program signals used
ERAS submissions open
 
Apps transmit to programs on this date.
Where you are in the cycle · 2026-2027
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before May
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Pick signals
now
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by Sept
Submit ERAS
Sept 2
Track invites
Oct-Dec
Build rank list
Feb 25
Match Day
Mar 19
Try your stats
Re-rank for your applicant cohort. No account needed.
P(interview) at a typical Plastic Surgery - Integrated program
Real probabilities from raw applicant data. Both columns are real numbers; the arrow shows what signaling adds.
methodology
raw cross-tab, 2024-2026, n=11,780 classifiable Plastic Surgery - Integrated applicants. P(invite) = k_invited / n per cell of (signaled × geographic_connection × away_rotation). Cells with thin sample sizes (n < 500 in the limiting arm) carry wider real CIs than shown here; treat directionally.
No ties
8%→44%
+36 pp with signal
Pure signal effect
Geo tie only
40%→59%
+19 pp with signal
Home-state programs
⚠ thin sample (n=238)
Away rotation only
77%→88%
+11 pp with signal
You rotated there
⚠ thin sample (n=133)
Geo + away
90%→93%
+2 pp with signal
Already very likely
⚠ thin sample (n=52)
Sort:|Geo:

Where you’re most likely to land an interview

showing 50 of 88
University of Alabama Hospital (Birmingham)AL 117 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal5%→with signal65%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Texas Medical Branch HospitalsTX 121 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal11%→with signal65%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Utah HealthUT 125 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal4%→with signal65%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Lehigh Valley Health NetworkPA 123 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal7%→with signal63%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Wright State UniversityOH 113 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal6%→with signal63%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of FloridaFL 122 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal8%→with signal62%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
West Virginia University School of MedicineWV 117 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal6%→with signal61%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Kentucky College of MedicineKY 121 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal6%→with signal60%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of MinnesotaMN 119 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal7%→with signal60%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Penn State Milton S Hershey Medical CenterPA 125 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal6%→with signal60%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Geisinger Health SystemPA 121 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal7%→with signal59%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Louisiana State University School of MedicineLA 125 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal4%→with signal59%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Cleveland Clinic FoundationOH 123 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal6%→with signal59%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of South Florida MorsaniFL 122 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal14%→with signal59%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Virginia Commonwealth University Health SystemVA 126 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal11%→with signal59%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of New Mexico School of MedicineNM 119 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal11%→with signal58%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Rochester Medical CenterNY 123 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal6%→with signal58%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Oregon Health & Science University (OHSU Health)OR 121 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal4%→with signal58%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Old Dominion UniversityVA 33 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal8%→with signal57%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Texas Southwestern Medical CenterTX 127 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal5%→with signal57%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Icahn School of Medicine at Mount SinaiNY 126 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal3%→with signal57%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Larkin Community Hospital Palm Springs CampusFL 99 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal7%→with signal57%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Louisville School of MedicineKY 118 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal8%→with signal57%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Albany Med Health SystemNY 123 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal10%→with signal56%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Stony Brook MedicineNY 32 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal6%→with signal56%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of California (Irvine)CA 124 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal5%→with signal55%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Indiana University School of MedicineIN 124 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal7%→with signal55%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
UMass Chan Medical SchoolMA 117 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal5%→with signal55%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Rush University Medical CenterIL 126 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal7%→with signal54%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Washington University/B-JH/SLCH ConsortiumMO 126 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal5%→with signal54%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Kirk Kerkorian School of Medicine at UNLVNV 121 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal8%→with signal53%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Lahey ClinicMA 122 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal7%→with signal53%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Mississippi School of MedicineMS 122 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal7%→with signal53%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of California (San Francisco)CA 125 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal4%→with signal53%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Colorado School of MedicineCO 130 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal6%→with signal52%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Iowa Health Care Medical CenterIA 111 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal7%→with signal52%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
How these numbers are computed

Lift = P(invite | signaled in your stratum) − P(invite | unsignaled in your stratum). When the signaled rate is lower than unsignaled in the source (small-N sample noise), we floor the lift at 0 - signaling cannot credibly hurt your odds, and the UI shouldn’t lie.

Stratum = applicant type (US MD / DO / IMG) × Step 2 CK band (<240 / 240-249 / 250-259 / 260-269 / 270+). When n < 10 in your exact stratum, we fall back to the program’s overall rollup so you still get a number, just less personalized.

Tier: Reach (matched-invitee mean is 8+ above your Step 2, or signal can’t rescue), Target (closer fit), Safety (baseline P(invite) > 50% - you’ll interview without a signal). The signal slider hides on Safety and on unrescuable Reach rows where worthSignaling is false.

Refine your estimate: each credential you set shifts P(invite) by its modeled effect for this specialty, from a ridge logistic regression on real applicant data. Credentials with no statistically measurable effect leave the number unchanged.

Caveats: lift is observational (signaled applicants may differ in unmeasured ways like geographic ties, mentorship, prior aways); programs with fewer than ~30 reports have wide CIs.

For the full picture

/match-plan takes your saved programs and computes P(invite), P(match), and tier per program for your specific stats - with primary + backup specialty support and signal-budget allocation.

Open Match Plan →