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Signal strategy

Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation

Programs ranked by empirical signal lift — how much sending a signal moves your interview probability, computed from real applicant data across 22 specialties.

Your stratum
Set your stats to re-rank
Step 2 CK, applicant type, home state — below.
Your signal budget for this specialty
0 of 8 program signals used
ERAS submissions open
 
Apps transmit to programs on this date.
Where you are in the cycle · 2026-2027
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Pick specialty
before May
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Pick signals
now
Build apply list
by Sept
Submit ERAS
Sept 2
Track invites
Oct-Dec
Build rank list
Feb 25
Match Day
Mar 19
Try your stats
Re-rank for your applicant cohort. No account needed.
P(interview) at a typical Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation program
Real probabilities from raw applicant data. Both columns are real numbers; the arrow shows what signaling adds.
methodology
raw cross-tab, n=15,213 classifiable Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation applicants. P(invite) = k_invited / n per cell of (signaled × geographic_connection × away_rotation). Cells with thin sample sizes (n < 500 in the limiting arm) carry wider real CIs than shown here; treat directionally.
No ties
19%→54%
+35 pp with signal
Pure signal effect
Geo tie only
44%→68%
+24 pp with signal
Home-state programs
Away rotation only
78%→91%
+13 pp with signal
You rotated there
⚠ thin sample (n=74)
Geo + away
90%→94%
+4 pp with signal
Already very likely
⚠ thin sample (n=70)
Sort:

Where you’re most likely to land an interview

showing 50 of 110
Providence Sacred Heart Medical CenterWA 96 in your cohortSelectivity 249
Your P(interview) herewithout signal30%→with signal80%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Texas Health Science Center at HoustonTX 173 in your cohortSelectivity 246
Your P(interview) herewithout signal28%→with signal79%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Mary Free Bed HospitalMI 154 in your cohortSelectivity 248
Your P(interview) herewithout signal25%→with signal78%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
OPTI WestCA 81 in your cohortSelectivity 249
Your P(interview) herewithout signal25%→with signal77%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Texas at Austin Dell Medical SchoolTX 162 in your cohortSelectivity 250
Your P(interview) herewithout signal27%→with signal76%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Texas Southwestern Medical CenterTX 184 in your cohortSelectivity 251
Your P(interview) herewithout signal33%→with signal76%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
McGaw Medical Center of Northwestern UniversityIL 264 in your cohortSignal usually requiredSelectivity 249
Your P(interview) herewithout signal20%→with signal75%
10.9%signaled0.00%no signal∞match-rate liftn = 55/103 · 3 cycles
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Indiana University School of MedicineIN 163 in your cohortSelectivity 250
Your P(interview) herewithout signal31%→with signal74%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Missouri-ColumbiaMO 103 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal27%→with signal74%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Broward HealthFL 14 in your cohortLow NSelectivity 243
Your P(interview) herewithout signal21%→with signal74%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Memorial Healthcare System (Hollywood, Florida)FL 112 in your cohortSelectivity 242
Your P(interview) herewithout signal20%→with signal73%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
SUNY Upstate Medical UniversityNY 97 in your cohortSelectivity 249
Your P(interview) herewithout signal29%→with signal73%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Wisconsin Hospitals and ClinicsWI 143 in your cohortSelectivity 250
Your P(interview) herewithout signal21%→with signal73%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Miami/Jackson Health SystemFL 179 in your cohortSelectivity 253
Your P(interview) herewithout signal27%→with signal73%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Tufts Medical CenterMA 141 in your cohortSelectivity 252
Your P(interview) herewithout signal25%→with signal72%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University Hospitals Community ConsortiumOH 58 in your cohortSelectivity 241
Your P(interview) herewithout signal21%→with signal72%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Pennsylvania Health SystemPA 228 in your cohortSelectivity 253
Your P(interview) herewithout signal31%→with signal72%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Westchester Medical CenterNY 58 in your cohortSelectivity 245
Your P(interview) herewithout signal36%→with signal72%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Tower HealthPA 95 in your cohortSelectivity 246
Your P(interview) herewithout signal28%→with signal71%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
UPMC Medical EducationPA 235 in your cohortSignal usually requiredSelectivity 251
Your P(interview) herewithout signal23%→with signal71%
16.2%signaled0.00%no signal∞match-rate liftn = 37/100 · 3 cycles
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
HCA Healthcare Sunrise Health GME/MountainViewNV 81 in your cohortSelectivity 243
Your P(interview) herewithout signal25%→with signal71%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Rochester Medical CenterNY 12 in your cohortLow NSelectivity 250
Your P(interview) herewithout signal25%→with signal71%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Old Dominion UniversityVA 9 in your cohortLow N
Your P(interview) herewithout signal23%→with signal71%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Louisiana State University School of MedicineLA 130 in your cohortSelectivity 245
Your P(interview) herewithout signal17%→with signal70%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Kentucky College of MedicineKY 146 in your cohortSelectivity 241
Your P(interview) herewithout signal15%→with signal69%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Emory University School of MedicineGA 225 in your cohortSelectivity 251
Your P(interview) herewithout signal23%→with signal68%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Medical College of Wisconsin Affiliated HospitalsWI 162 in your cohortSelectivity 249
Your P(interview) herewithout signal28%→with signal68%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of ToledoOH 94 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal25%→with signal68%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Penn State Milton S Hershey Medical CenterPA 171 in your cohortSelectivity 248
Your P(interview) herewithout signal20%→with signal68%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Baylor University Medical CenterTX 156 in your cohortSelectivity 239
Your P(interview) herewithout signal14%→with signal67%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Virginia Medical CenterVA 188 in your cohortSelectivity 246
Your P(interview) herewithout signal16%→with signal67%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of New Mexico School of MedicineNM 124 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal25%→with signal67%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Corewell Health (Taylor)MI 45 in your cohortSelectivity 238
Your P(interview) herewithout signal21%→with signal67%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Detroit Medical Center/Wayne State UniversityMI 136 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal21%→with signal67%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Good Samaritan University Hospital/Mercy HospitalNY 60 in your cohortSelectivity 243
Your P(interview) herewithout signal23%→with signal67%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Nassau University Medical CenterNY 72 in your cohortSelectivity 242
Your P(interview) herewithout signal24%→with signal67%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
National Capital ConsortiumMD 23 in your cohortLow N
Your P(interview) herewithout signal22%→with signal67%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Wright Center for Graduate Medical EducationPA 63 in your cohortSelectivity 238
Your P(interview) herewithout signal23%→with signal67%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Yale-New Haven HospitalCT 98 in your cohortSelectivity 245
Your P(interview) herewithout signal20%→with signal66%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
How these numbers are computed

Lift = P(invite | signaled in your stratum) − P(invite | unsignaled in your stratum). When the signaled rate is lower than unsignaled in the source (small-N sample noise), we floor the lift at 0 — signaling cannot credibly hurt your odds, and the UI shouldn’t lie.

Stratum = applicant type (US MD / DO / IMG) × Step 2 CK band (<240 / 240-249 / 250-259 / 260-269 / 270+). When n < 10 in your exact stratum, we fall back to the program’s overall rollup so you still get a number, just less personalized.

Tier: Reach (matched-invitee mean is 8+ above your Step 2, or signal can’t rescue), Target (closer fit), Safety (baseline P(invite) > 50% — you’ll interview without a signal). The signal slider hides on Safety and on unrescuable Reach rows where worthSignaling is false.

Refine your estimate: each credential you set shifts P(invite) by its modeled effect for this specialty, from a ridge logistic regression on real applicant data. Credentials with no statistically measurable effect leave the number unchanged.

Caveats: lift is observational (signaled applicants may differ in unmeasured ways like geographic ties, mentorship, prior aways); programs with fewer than ~30 reports have wide CIs.

For the full picture

/match-plan takes your saved programs and computes P(invite), P(match), and tier per program for your specific stats — with primary + backup specialty support and signal-budget allocation.

Open Match Plan →