⚠Not signed in. Inputs are session-only.
Signal strategy

Pediatrics

Programs ranked by empirical signal lift — how much sending a signal moves your interview probability, computed from real applicant data across 22 specialties.

Your stratum
Set your stats to re-rank
Step 2 CK, applicant type, home state — below.
Your signal budget for this specialty
0 of 5 program signals used
ERAS submissions open
 
Apps transmit to programs on this date.
Where you are in the cycle · 2026-2027
✓
Pick specialty
before May
●
Pick signals
now
Build apply list
by Sept
Submit ERAS
Sept 2
Track invites
Oct-Dec
Build rank list
Feb 25
Match Day
Mar 19
Try your stats
Re-rank for your applicant cohort. No account needed.
P(interview) at a typical Pediatrics program
Real probabilities from raw applicant data. Both columns are real numbers; the arrow shows what signaling adds.
methodology
raw cross-tab, n=58,975 classifiable Pediatrics applicants. P(invite) = k_invited / n per cell of (signaled × geographic_connection × away_rotation). Cells with thin sample sizes (n < 500 in the limiting arm) carry wider real CIs than shown here; treat directionally.
No ties
52%→77%
+24 pp with signal
Pure signal effect
Geo tie only
77%→86%
+9 pp with signal
Home-state programs
Away rotation only
89%→93%
+4 pp with signal
You rotated there
⚠ thin sample (n=261)
Geo + away
94%→96%
+2 pp with signal
Already very likely
⚠ thin sample (n=386)
Sort:

Where you’re most likely to land an interview

showing 50 of 205
University of MichiganMI 470 in your cohortSignal requiredSelectivity 249
Your P(interview) herewithout signal48%→with signal96%
13.3%signaled0.98%no signal14xmatch-rate liftn = 75/307 · 3 cycles
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Phoenix Children's HospitalAZ 589 in your cohortSelectivity 247
Your P(interview) herewithout signal59%→with signal95%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Indiana University School of MedicineIN 575 in your cohortSignal requiredSelectivity 248
Your P(interview) herewithout signal57%→with signal95%
22.4%signaled0.38%no signal59xmatch-rate liftn = 67/265 · 3 cycles
● Holds for Step 2 250+
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Virginia Medical CenterVA 557 in your cohortSignal requiredSelectivity 250
Your P(interview) herewithout signal64%→with signal94%
11.4%signaled0.79%no signal14xmatch-rate liftn = 35/252 · 3 cycles
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Washington University/B-JH/SLCH ConsortiumMO 466 in your cohortSelectivity 248
Your P(interview) herewithout signal77%→with signal93%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Louisville School of MedicineKY 383 in your cohortSignal requiredSelectivity 245
Your P(interview) herewithout signal73%→with signal93%
15.2%signaled0.99%no signal15xmatch-rate liftn = 33/202 · 3 cycles
● Holds for Step 2 250+
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of FloridaFL 335 in your cohortSelectivity 245
Your P(interview) herewithout signal71%→with signal93%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Prisma Health/University of South Carolina SOM Greenville (Greenville)SC 295 in your cohortSignal requiredSelectivity 245
Your P(interview) herewithout signal60%→with signal93%
9.4%signaled0.60%no signal16xmatch-rate liftn = 32/167 · 3 cycles
● Holds for Step 2 250+
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Oregon Health & Science University (OHSU Health)OR 339 in your cohortSignal requiredSelectivity 248
Your P(interview) herewithout signal58%→with signal93%
8.1%signaled0.94%no signal9xmatch-rate liftn = 62/213 · 3 cycles
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of MarylandMD 428 in your cohortSelectivity 241
Your P(interview) herewithout signal61%→with signal93%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Virginia Commonwealth University Health SystemVA 435 in your cohortSelectivity 245
Your P(interview) herewithout signal67%→with signal92%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
SSM Health/Saint Louis University School of MedicineMO 185 in your cohortSelectivity 244
Your P(interview) herewithout signal69%→with signal92%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Tower Health/St. Christopher's Hospital for ChildrenPA 439 in your cohortSelectivity 246
Your P(interview) herewithout signal72%→with signal92%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Wright State UniversityOH 172 in your cohortSelectivity 241
Your P(interview) herewithout signal64%→with signal92%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Children's Hospital of MichiganMI 373 in your cohortSelectivity 242
Your P(interview) herewithout signal54%→with signal92%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of South Florida MorsaniFL 229 in your cohortSelectivity 242
Your P(interview) herewithout signal48%→with signal92%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Dartmouth-Hitchcock/Mary Hitchcock Memorial HospitalNH 247 in your cohortSelectivity 246
Your P(interview) herewithout signal60%→with signal92%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of MinnesotaMN 392 in your cohortSelectivity 245
Your P(interview) herewithout signal64%→with signal92%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Wisconsin Hospitals and ClinicsWI 417 in your cohortSelectivity 245
Your P(interview) herewithout signal62%→with signal91%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Orlando Health/Arnold Palmer Hospital for ChildrenFL 244 in your cohortSelectivity 246
Your P(interview) herewithout signal75%→with signal91%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Louisiana State University School of MedicineLA 271 in your cohortSelectivity 243
Your P(interview) herewithout signal64%→with signal91%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Loma Linda University Health Education ConsortiumCA 216 in your cohortSelectivity 244
Your P(interview) herewithout signal75%→with signal91%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
NYU Grossman School of MedicineNY 533 in your cohortSignal requiredSelectivity 251
Your P(interview) herewithout signal58%→with signal91%
21.9%signaled0.00%no signal∞match-rate liftn = 73/223 · 3 cycles
● Holds for Step 2 250+
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Texas Health Science Center at HoustonTX 389 in your cohortSelectivity 243
Your P(interview) herewithout signal59%→with signal90%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of ChicagoIL 735 in your cohortSelectivity 247
Your P(interview) herewithout signal39%→with signal90%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Cleveland Clinic FoundationOH 359 in your cohortSelectivity 246
Your P(interview) herewithout signal52%→with signal90%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Nicklaus Children's HospitalFL 281 in your cohortSelectivity 246
Your P(interview) herewithout signal63%→with signal90%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Alabama Hospital (Birmingham)AL 62 in your cohortSelectivity 247
Your P(interview) herewithout signal76%→with signal90%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Carolinas Medical CenterNC 607 in your cohortSignal requiredSelectivity 249
Your P(interview) herewithout signal65%→with signal90%
8.9%signaled0.34%no signal26xmatch-rate liftn = 56/297 · 3 cycles
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of ConnecticutCT 425 in your cohortSelectivity 246
Your P(interview) herewithout signal75%→with signal90%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Oklahoma Health Sciences CenterOK 209 in your cohortSelectivity 246
Your P(interview) herewithout signal73%→with signal90%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Los Angeles County-Harbor-UCLA Medical CenterCA 310 in your cohortSelectivity 244
Your P(interview) herewithout signal74%→with signal90%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of HawaiiHI 105 in your cohortSelectivity 245
Your P(interview) herewithout signal46%→with signal90%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Tulane UniversityLA 187 in your cohortSelectivity 240
Your P(interview) herewithout signal54%→with signal89%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Medical College of GeorgiaGA 270 in your cohortSelectivity 243
Your P(interview) herewithout signal65%→with signal89%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Kentucky College of MedicineKY 287 in your cohortSelectivity 241
Your P(interview) herewithout signal70%→with signal89%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Stony Brook Medicine/Stony Brook Children's HospitalNY 257 in your cohortSelectivity 244
Your P(interview) herewithout signal69%→with signal89%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Cedars-Sinai Medical CenterCA 161 in your cohortSelectivity 246
Your P(interview) herewithout signal69%→with signal89%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
How these numbers are computed

Lift = P(invite | signaled in your stratum) − P(invite | unsignaled in your stratum). When the signaled rate is lower than unsignaled in the source (small-N sample noise), we floor the lift at 0 — signaling cannot credibly hurt your odds, and the UI shouldn’t lie.

Stratum = applicant type (US MD / DO / IMG) × Step 2 CK band (<240 / 240-249 / 250-259 / 260-269 / 270+). When n < 10 in your exact stratum, we fall back to the program’s overall rollup so you still get a number, just less personalized.

Tier: Reach (matched-invitee mean is 8+ above your Step 2, or signal can’t rescue), Target (closer fit), Safety (baseline P(invite) > 50% — you’ll interview without a signal). The signal slider hides on Safety and on unrescuable Reach rows where worthSignaling is false.

Refine your estimate: each credential you set shifts P(invite) by its modeled effect for this specialty, from a ridge logistic regression on real applicant data. Credentials with no statistically measurable effect leave the number unchanged.

Caveats: lift is observational (signaled applicants may differ in unmeasured ways like geographic ties, mentorship, prior aways); programs with fewer than ~30 reports have wide CIs.

For the full picture

/match-plan takes your saved programs and computes P(invite), P(match), and tier per program for your specific stats — with primary + backup specialty support and signal-budget allocation.

Open Match Plan →