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Signal strategy

Pathology-Anatomic and Clinical

Programs ranked by empirical signal lift - how much sending a signal moves your interview probability, computed from real applicant data across 22 specialties.

Your stratum
Set your stats to re-rank
Step 2 CK, applicant type, home state - below.
Your signal budget for this specialty
0 of 5 program signals used
ERAS submissions open
 
Apps transmit to programs on this date.
Where you are in the cycle · 2026-2027
✓
Pick specialty
before May
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Pick signals
now
Build apply list
by Sept
Submit ERAS
Sept 2
Track invites
Oct-Dec
Build rank list
Feb 25
Match Day
Mar 19
Try your stats
Re-rank for your applicant cohort. No account needed.
P(interview) at a typical Pathology-Anatomic and Clinical program
Real probabilities from raw applicant data. Both columns are real numbers; the arrow shows what signaling adds.
methodology
raw cross-tab, 2024-2026, n=7,093 classifiable Pathology-Anatomic and Clinical applicants. P(invite) = k_invited / n per cell of (signaled × geographic_connection × away_rotation). Cells with thin sample sizes (n < 500 in the limiting arm) carry wider real CIs than shown here; treat directionally.
No ties
40%→79%
+38 pp with signal
Pure signal effect
Geo tie only
61%→86%
+25 pp with signal
Home-state programs
⚠ thin sample (n=429)
Away rotation only
78%→95%
+17 pp with signal
You rotated there
⚠ thin sample (n=37)
Geo + away
91%→95%
+5 pp with signal
Already very likely
⚠ thin sample (n=43)
Sort:|Geo:

Where you’re most likely to land an interview

showing 50 of 136
University of Pennsylvania Health SystemPA 121 in your cohortSelectivity 247
Your P(interview) herewithout signal40%→with signal96%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of New Mexico School of MedicineNM 59 in your cohortSelectivity 246
Your P(interview) herewithout signal51%→with signal92%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Duke University HospitalNC 123 in your cohortSelectivity 249
Your P(interview) herewithout signal63%→with signal91%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Cleveland Clinic FoundationOH 114 in your cohortSelectivity 253
Your P(interview) herewithout signal41%→with signal91%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Alabama Hospital (Birmingham)AL 45 in your cohortSelectivity 243
Your P(interview) herewithout signal51%→with signal90%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Yale-New Haven Medical CenterCT 119 in your cohortSelectivity 249
Your P(interview) herewithout signal57%→with signal89%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Johns Hopkins UniversityMD 131 in your cohortSelectivity 251
Your P(interview) herewithout signal42%→with signal89%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Virginia Medical CenterVA 95 in your cohortSelectivity 249
Your P(interview) herewithout signal40%→with signal89%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Arizona College of Medicine-TucsonAZ 50 in your cohortSelectivity 242
Your P(interview) herewithout signal39%→with signal88%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
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Rotated here?
University of MinnesotaMN 75 in your cohortSelectivity 246
Your P(interview) herewithout signal49%→with signal88%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
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Houston Methodist Hospital (Medical Center)TX 57 in your cohortSelectivity 247
Your P(interview) herewithout signal55%→with signal88%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
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University of ChicagoIL 122 in your cohortSelectivity 253
Your P(interview) herewithout signal41%→with signal88%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
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Corewell Health William Beaumont University HospitalMI 24 in your cohortLow NSelectivity 246
Your P(interview) herewithout signal44%→with signal88%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Rochester Medical CenterNY 35 in your cohortSelectivity 247
Your P(interview) herewithout signal44%→with signal87%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
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Mass General BrighamMA 132 in your cohortSelectivity 253
Your P(interview) herewithout signal42%→with signal87%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Los Angeles County-Harbor-UCLA Medical CenterCA 43 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal45%→with signal87%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
NYU Grossman School of MedicineNY 81 in your cohortSelectivity 246
Your P(interview) herewithout signal41%→with signal87%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of ColoradoCO 97 in your cohortSelectivity 247
Your P(interview) herewithout signal44%→with signal87%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
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University of Utah HealthUT 78 in your cohortSelectivity 247
Your P(interview) herewithout signal45%→with signal87%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Baylor University Medical CenterTX 41 in your cohortSelectivity 241
Your P(interview) herewithout signal40%→with signal86%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Vanderbilt University Medical CenterTN 86 in your cohortSelectivity 255
Your P(interview) herewithout signal48%→with signal86%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of MichiganMI 149 in your cohortSignal requiredSelectivity 253
Your P(interview) herewithout signal33%→with signal86%
21.9%signaled0.00%no signal∞match-rate liftn = 41/69 · 3 cycles
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Washington University/B-JH/SLCH ConsortiumMO 92 in your cohortSelectivity 251
Your P(interview) herewithout signal52%→with signal86%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Stony Brook Medicine/University HospitalNY 31 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal49%→with signal86%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Kansas School of MedicineKS 34 in your cohortSelectivity 243
Your P(interview) herewithout signal45%→with signal86%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Cedars-Sinai Medical CenterCA 68 in your cohortSelectivity 249
Your P(interview) herewithout signal43%→with signal86%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of California (San Francisco)CA 105 in your cohortSelectivity 248
Your P(interview) herewithout signal41%→with signal86%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of North Carolina HospitalsNC 98 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal49%→with signal86%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Loyola University Medical CenterIL 60 in your cohortSelectivity 243
Your P(interview) herewithout signal44%→with signal85%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Boston University Medical CenterMA 38 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal43%→with signal85%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Geisinger Health SystemPA 29 in your cohortLow NSelectivity 243
Your P(interview) herewithout signal44%→with signal85%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Tufts Medical CenterMA 39 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal42%→with signal85%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Louisiana State University School of MedicineLA 20 in your cohortLow NSelectivity 237
Your P(interview) herewithout signal46%→with signal85%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of HawaiiHI 15 in your cohortLow N
Your P(interview) herewithout signal42%→with signal85%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Detroit Medical Center/Wayne State UniversityMI 22 in your cohortLow N
Your P(interview) herewithout signal45%→with signal84%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of MarylandMD 54 in your cohortSelectivity 248
Your P(interview) herewithout signal48%→with signal84%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Miami/Jackson Health SystemFL 43 in your cohortSelectivity 250
Your P(interview) herewithout signal46%→with signal84%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Medical College of GeorgiaGA 30 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal44%→with signal84%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Rhode Island Hospital/Brown University HealthRI 20 in your cohortLow NSelectivity 242
Your P(interview) herewithout signal43%→with signal84%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Henry Ford Health/Henry Ford HospitalMI 29 in your cohortLow NSelectivity 246
Your P(interview) herewithout signal43%→with signal84%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
ECU Health Medical Center/East Carolina UniversityNC 19 in your cohortLow NSelectivity 237
Your P(interview) herewithout signal43%→with signal84%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Louisiana State University (Shreveport)LA 13 in your cohortLow NSelectivity 239
Your P(interview) herewithout signal44%→with signal84%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
MedStar Health Georgetown UniversityDC 39 in your cohortSelectivity 246
Your P(interview) herewithout signal43%→with signal84%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
SUNY Downstate Health Sciences UniversityNY 35 in your cohortSelectivity 248
Your P(interview) herewithout signal44%→with signal84%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
How these numbers are computed

Lift = P(invite | signaled in your stratum) − P(invite | unsignaled in your stratum). When the signaled rate is lower than unsignaled in the source (small-N sample noise), we floor the lift at 0 - signaling cannot credibly hurt your odds, and the UI shouldn’t lie.

Stratum = applicant type (US MD / DO / IMG) × Step 2 CK band (<240 / 240-249 / 250-259 / 260-269 / 270+). When n < 10 in your exact stratum, we fall back to the program’s overall rollup so you still get a number, just less personalized.

Tier: Reach (matched-invitee mean is 8+ above your Step 2, or signal can’t rescue), Target (closer fit), Safety (baseline P(invite) > 50% - you’ll interview without a signal). The signal slider hides on Safety and on unrescuable Reach rows where worthSignaling is false.

Refine your estimate: each credential you set shifts P(invite) by its modeled effect for this specialty, from a ridge logistic regression on real applicant data. Credentials with no statistically measurable effect leave the number unchanged.

Caveats: lift is observational (signaled applicants may differ in unmeasured ways like geographic ties, mentorship, prior aways); programs with fewer than ~30 reports have wide CIs.

For the full picture

/match-plan takes your saved programs and computes P(invite), P(match), and tier per program for your specific stats - with primary + backup specialty support and signal-budget allocation.

Open Match Plan →