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Signal strategy

Neurology

Programs ranked by empirical signal lift - how much sending a signal moves your interview probability, computed from real applicant data across 22 specialties.

Your stratum
Set your stats to re-rank
Step 2 CK, applicant type, home state - below.
Your signal budget for this specialty
0 of 8 program signals used
ERAS submissions open
 
Apps transmit to programs on this date.
Where you are in the cycle · 2026-2027
✓
Pick specialty
before May
●
Pick signals
now
Build apply list
by Sept
Submit ERAS
Sept 2
Track invites
Oct-Dec
Build rank list
Feb 25
Match Day
Mar 19
Try your stats
Re-rank for your applicant cohort. No account needed.
P(interview) at a typical Neurology program
Real probabilities from raw applicant data. Both columns are real numbers; the arrow shows what signaling adds.
methodology
raw cross-tab, 2024-2026, n=17,864 classifiable Neurology applicants. P(invite) = k_invited / n per cell of (signaled × geographic_connection × away_rotation). Cells with thin sample sizes (n < 500 in the limiting arm) carry wider real CIs than shown here; treat directionally.
No ties
26%→66%
+40 pp with signal
Pure signal effect
Geo tie only
52%→77%
+24 pp with signal
Home-state programs
Away rotation only
75%→87%
+12 pp with signal
You rotated there
⚠ thin sample (n=71)
Geo + away
87%→94%
+8 pp with signal
Already very likely
⚠ thin sample (n=76)
Sort:|Geo:

Where you’re most likely to land an interview

showing 50 of 184
Wake Forest University Baptist Medical CenterNC 178 in your cohortSelectivity 250
Your P(interview) herewithout signal19%→with signal82%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Alabama Hospital (Birmingham)AL 68 in your cohortSelectivity 251
Your P(interview) herewithout signal37%→with signal80%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of FloridaFL 118 in your cohortSelectivity 253
Your P(interview) herewithout signal28%→with signal79%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
UMass Chan Medical SchoolMA 102 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal23%→with signal78%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Ohio State University HospitalOH 193 in your cohortSelectivity 252
Your P(interview) herewithout signal31%→with signal77%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Texas Health Science Center at HoustonTX 114 in your cohortSelectivity 252
Your P(interview) herewithout signal42%→with signal77%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
MaineHealthME 40 in your cohortSelectivity 242
Your P(interview) herewithout signal24%→with signal76%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Utah HealthUT 88 in your cohortSelectivity 247
Your P(interview) herewithout signal19%→with signal76%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Arizona College of Medicine-PhoenixAZ 92 in your cohortSelectivity 243
Your P(interview) herewithout signal32%→with signal76%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of ChicagoIL 190 in your cohortSelectivity 249
Your P(interview) herewithout signal15%→with signal76%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Iowa Health Care Medical CenterIA 109 in your cohortSelectivity 250
Your P(interview) herewithout signal47%→with signal76%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of California (Irvine)CA 104 in your cohortSelectivity 251
Your P(interview) herewithout signal28%→with signal76%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
HCA HealthONE/Swedish Medical CenterCO 57 in your cohortSelectivity 244
Your P(interview) herewithout signal32%→with signal76%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Wisconsin Hospitals and ClinicsWI 126 in your cohortSelectivity 249
Your P(interview) herewithout signal27%→with signal75%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of California Davis HealthCA 128 in your cohortSignal requiredSelectivity 252
Your P(interview) herewithout signal30%→with signal75%
12.9%signaled0.00%no signal∞match-rate liftn = 31/72 · 3 cycles
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Henry Ford Health/Henry Ford HospitalMI 91 in your cohortSelectivity 250
Your P(interview) herewithout signal30%→with signal75%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
SUNY Downstate Health Sciences UniversityNY 88 in your cohortSelectivity 246
Your P(interview) herewithout signal23%→with signal75%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Vanderbilt University Medical CenterTN 192 in your cohortSignal requiredSelectivity 249
Your P(interview) herewithout signal11%→with signal75%
9.7%signaled0.85%no signal11xmatch-rate liftn = 31/117 · 3 cycles
● Holds for Step 2 250+
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Zucker School of Medicine at Hofstra/NorthwellNY 89 in your cohortSelectivity 250
Your P(interview) herewithout signal38%→with signal75%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Medical College of GeorgiaGA 92 in your cohortSelectivity 247
Your P(interview) herewithout signal23%→with signal75%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Vermont Medical CenterVT 87 in your cohortSelectivity 248
Your P(interview) herewithout signal23%→with signal74%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Detroit Medical Center/Wayne State UniversityMI 98 in your cohortSelectivity 245
Your P(interview) herewithout signal24%→with signal74%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Geisinger Health System (Danville)PA 82 in your cohortSelectivity 244
Your P(interview) herewithout signal25%→with signal74%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Houston Methodist Hospital (Medical Center)TX 86 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal38%→with signal73%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Rochester Medical CenterNY 136 in your cohortSelectivity 258
Your P(interview) herewithout signal27%→with signal73%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of South Florida MorsaniFL 100 in your cohortSelectivity 250
Your P(interview) herewithout signal25%→with signal73%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Louisiana State University School of MedicineLA 54 in your cohortSelectivity 239
Your P(interview) herewithout signal26%→with signal73%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Dartmouth-Hitchcock/Mary Hitchcock Memorial HospitalNH 138 in your cohortSelectivity 249
Your P(interview) herewithout signal23%→with signal73%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Kentucky College of MedicineKY 83 in your cohortSelectivity 244
Your P(interview) herewithout signal24%→with signal73%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of ColoradoCO 192 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal38%→with signal72%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Stony Brook Medicine/University HospitalNY 110 in your cohortSelectivity 247
Your P(interview) herewithout signal31%→with signal72%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Kansas School of MedicineKS 72 in your cohortSelectivity 251
Your P(interview) herewithout signal40%→with signal72%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Lehigh Valley Health NetworkPA 66 in your cohortSelectivity 249
Your P(interview) herewithout signal27%→with signal72%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of Cincinnati Medical Center/College of MedicineOH 183 in your cohortSignal requiredSelectivity 251
Your P(interview) herewithout signal20%→with signal72%
9.4%signaled0.00%no signal∞match-rate liftn = 32/113 · 3 cycles
● Holds for Step 2 250+
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
Rutgers Health/Robert Wood Johnson Medical SchoolNJ 97 in your cohortSelectivity 243
Your P(interview) herewithout signal23%→with signal72%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
West Virginia UniversityWV 58 in your cohort
Your P(interview) herewithout signal26%→with signal72%
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
University of California (San Diego) Medical CenterCA 155 in your cohortSignal usually required
Your P(interview) herewithout signal12%→with signal72%
9.8%signaled0.00%no signal∞match-rate liftn = 41/94 · 3 cycles
● Holds for Step 2 250+
0%50%100% P(interview)
Your relationship to this program
Geo tie?
Rotated here?
How these numbers are computed

Lift = P(invite | signaled in your stratum) − P(invite | unsignaled in your stratum). When the signaled rate is lower than unsignaled in the source (small-N sample noise), we floor the lift at 0 - signaling cannot credibly hurt your odds, and the UI shouldn’t lie.

Stratum = applicant type (US MD / DO / IMG) × Step 2 CK band (<240 / 240-249 / 250-259 / 260-269 / 270+). When n < 10 in your exact stratum, we fall back to the program’s overall rollup so you still get a number, just less personalized.

Tier: Reach (matched-invitee mean is 8+ above your Step 2, or signal can’t rescue), Target (closer fit), Safety (baseline P(invite) > 50% - you’ll interview without a signal). The signal slider hides on Safety and on unrescuable Reach rows where worthSignaling is false.

Refine your estimate: each credential you set shifts P(invite) by its modeled effect for this specialty, from a ridge logistic regression on real applicant data. Credentials with no statistically measurable effect leave the number unchanged.

Caveats: lift is observational (signaled applicants may differ in unmeasured ways like geographic ties, mentorship, prior aways); programs with fewer than ~30 reports have wide CIs.

For the full picture

/match-plan takes your saved programs and computes P(invite), P(match), and tier per program for your specific stats - with primary + backup specialty support and signal-budget allocation.

Open Match Plan →