NRMP 2024 charting outcomes
Match probability calculator
Plug your stats. We compute your match probability against last cycle’s matched applicants.
Specialty
Your Profile
180230280
Match probability · DermatologyUS MD
50%
−21 ptsvs NRMP US MD avg(70.5%)
Below average — strengthen application
View 68 programs in your fit→Live this cycle · away rotation tracker→Details
Sample · 314 matched · 126 unmatched
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Factor Breakdown
Helps Neutral Hurts
Publications
20
Below ↓
Matched avg: 27.7·Unmatched avg: 19.0
Volunteer
5
Below ↓
Matched avg: 5.3·Unmatched avg: 5.6
Work Experience
2
Below ↓
Matched avg: 2.3·Unmatched avg: 2.5
Research
5
Below ↓
Matched avg: 6.4·Unmatched avg: 4.9
Programs Ranked
6
Below ↓
Matched avg: 8.8·Unmatched avg: 4.5
Step 2 CK
254
Helps ↑
Matched avg: 257·Unmatched avg: 250
AOA Member
No
Neutral
Matched avg: 41%·Unmatched avg: 24%
Top 40 School
No
Neutral
Matched avg: 42%·Unmatched avg: 23%
PhD Degree
No
Neutral
Matched avg: 10%·Unmatched avg: 2%
Graduate Degree
No
Neutral
Matched avg: 17%·Unmatched avg: 17%
Strongest: Step 2 CK
Weakest: Programs Ranked
Base rate: 71%
What If?
How changes to your profile would affect your probability
+5 Step 2 CK
50%→77%+26.9%
+3 Programs Ranked
50%→68%+18.0%
+2 Research Experiences
50%→63%+13.0%
+5 Publications
50%→59%+8.5%
Get AOA
50%→57%+7.0%
How competitive are you?Dermatology
Mayo Clinic College of Medicine and Science (Scottsdale) Program
Scottsdale, AZ·Step 2: 253–274
University of Nebraska Medical Center College of Medicine Program
Omaha, NE·Step 2: 253–274
Mayo Clinic College of Medicine and Science (Rochester) Program
Rochester, MN·Step 2: 253–275
University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences (UAMS) College of Medicine Program
Little Rock, AR·Step 2: 246–268
Cook County Health and Hospitals System Program
Chicago, IL·Step 2: 245–268
University of Missouri-Columbia Program
Columbia, MO·Step 2: 250–273
Baylor College of Medicine Program
Houston, TX·Step 2: 246–270
Boston University Medical Center Program
Boston, MA·Step 2: 245–270
Cleveland Clinic Foundation Program
Cleveland, OH·Step 2: 249–275
NYU Grossman School of Medicine Program
New York, NY·Step 2: 245–271
Your Probability Across All Specialties
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